Can moderates regain strength if sanctions are lifted?

Question

Accepted Answer

Moderates May Regain Strength if Sanctions are Eased or Lifted

If President Rouhani's administration succeeds in ending or easing international sanctions, there is a possibility that moderates and centrists within Iran's political landscape could see their influence strengthened. This potential shift is closely tied to the broader political maneuvering surrounding the upcoming presidential election and the ongoing efforts to revive the 2015 nuclear accord.
Impact of Sanctions Relief on Political Factions

The lifting of crippling sanctions, reimposed by the United States in 2018 after former President Donald Trump withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), is considered critical for Iran. A diplomatic success in this area, such as salvaging the troubled nuclear deal, could significantly bolster the standing of moderates and centrists. This outcome is seen as a potential way to "polish the end of his mandate" for the outgoing President Rouhani, who had previously pursued engagement with Western powers.
The Nuclear Issue's Central Role in the Election

The nuclear issue and the associated sanctions remain a dominant factor influencing Iran's political climate, particularly in the lead-up to the June 18 presidential election. Efforts by Washington, European powers, and Tehran to salvage the 2015 accord are ongoing. The success or failure of these diplomatic initiatives is expected to have a direct bearing on the political fortunes of various factions, including the moderates and centrists.
Uncertainty for Reformist Candidates

The path forward for reformist candidates remains uncertain, with potential contenders needing to navigate the vetting process by the powerful conservative Guardian Council. While some figures like former parliament speaker Ali Larijani and Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif have been mentioned as possible moderate contenders, their candidacies are not yet confirmed. The ability of the reformist camp to present a united front and field a viable candidate will be crucial.

Reading history

Hide →

This history is cleared when the page is closed.

Can moderates regain strength if sanctions are lifted?

Loading

Was this article helpful?

Helpful

Not helpful

Report an issue

1

0

0

Share with friends