Could Anora secure Best Picture despite industry competition?

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Anora is predicted to win Best Picture despite industry competition.

The Best Picture race is framed around Anora as the clear frontrunner, with the precursor awards already pointing to it as the top choice. It has won at the Directors Guild of America (DGA), Producers Guild of America (PGA), and Writers Guild of America (WGA) Awards, which the piece treats as the strongest pattern for this year’s Oscars. Even with potential challengers such as The Brutalist and Conclave, the prediction concludes that Anora has “this one sewn up already.”
Anora’s track record at major precursor awards
Anora is described as having already won at three key industry events: the DGA, PGA, and WGA Awards. The piece presents these wins as having “more or less decided” the Best Picture outcome ahead of the Oscars. That positions Anora as the main film carrying momentum into the final category.
The Brutalist and Conclave as the main challengers
The piece notes that The Brutalist “might be the critics’ favourite,” indicating a possible split between critics and the wider awards pattern. It also highlights Conclave as the most likely source of an upset, because it made a late rally by winning at BAFTA and the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Awards. Despite those signs, the late rally is still treated as insufficient against Anora’s precursor sweep.
Why the race is still treated as close in other categories, but not Best Picture
The surrounding discussion emphasizes that some categories could be “very closely contested,” implying uncertainty elsewhere in the awards lineup. For Best Picture specifically, however, it states that the precursor awards have pointed toward a “clear favourite” rather than a toss-up. The contrast is used to justify why competition is not expected to derail Anora’s path.
The final call: Best Picture “sewn up” for Anora
The prediction explicitly states “Should win: Anora” and “Will win: Anora” for Best Picture. It also characterises any upset as something that would come only from Conclave, then rejects that scenario by saying Anora has the outcome already secured. In that framing, industry competition exists, but the awards pattern is decisive enough to keep Anora on top.

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Could Anora secure Best Picture despite industry competition?

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