Could PAS win federal power if Chinese voters abstain?

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PAS Could Win Federal Power If Chinese Voters Abstain

PAS could potentially secure federal power in the next general election by default if a significant portion of Chinese voters abstain from voting or cast invalid ballots. This scenario is reportedly being discussed among Chinese voters, with some Pakatan Harapan (PH) leaders acknowledging that PAS might form the federal government if PH does not receive sufficient voter support. While Chinese voters may express disillusionment with PH and the Democratic Action Party (DAP), they have historically voted for DAP out of default.
PAS's Electoral Landscape and Challenges

PAS is anticipated to face considerable difficulty in expanding its influence in Sabah and Sarawak, which collectively hold 56 parliamentary seats. Concurrently, the DAP is expected to maintain its strong performance in the 32 parliamentary seats that are predominantly Chinese-majority. This electoral dynamic realistically places PAS in contention for approximately 134 seats within the 222-seat Dewan Rakyat.
The Threshold for Federal Power

To form the federal government independently, PAS would need to secure at least 113 seats. Based on the estimated 134 seats where PAS could realistically compete, this would necessitate an 84% success rate in those contests. Such a high success rate is considered unlikely, particularly if the Chinese community participates actively in the voting process.
Perikatan Nasional's Outreach Efforts

Recent efforts by Perikatan Nasional to promote Terengganu Mentri Besar Datuk Seri Ahmad Samsuri Mokhtar as a national leader have not yet demonstrated a significant appeal to non-Muslim voters. The extent of Ahmad Samsuri Mokhtar's appeal beyond his current base remains an unknown factor in broader national elections.
Impact of Chinese Voter Turnout

The cruciality of Chinese voter turnout is amplified by ongoing discussions regarding alliances between Malay-based political parties. A weakened turnout among Chinese voters, especially in closely contested seats, could inadvertently enhance PAS's prospects of gaining federal power, even in the absence of widespread national support for the party.

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Could PAS win federal power if Chinese voters abstain?

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