How did Emilia Perez lose its Oscar frontrunner status?

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Emilia Perez lost its Oscar frontrunner status after resurfacing old tweets by Karla Sofia Gascon triggered a global backlash

Emilia Perez, which had 13 Oscar nominations and was seen as a frontrunner for major awards including Best Picture and Best International Film, saw its momentum collapse after old tweets by Karla Sofia Gascon resurfaced online. The tweets were described as appearing to express controversial views on Muslims, George Floyd, and diversity at the Oscars, and the resulting backlash led to Gascon being effectively “cancelled” by netizens worldwide. The controversy then “more or less” torpedoed Emilia Perez’s chances of sweeping the Oscars, and it also damaged what had looked like a likely win path for Best International Film.
Resurfaced tweets changed how viewers and voters perceived the campaign
The shift away from frontrunner status happened when old tweets attributed to Karla Sofia Gascon resurfaced on the internet. Those posts were described as expressing controversial views involving Muslims, George Floyd, and diversity at the Oscars. This framing turned the campaign from a straightforward awards favourite into a subject of widespread online backlash.
Netizen backlash led to an effective “cancellation” during the awards period
The fallout was characterised as Gascon being “cancelled” by netizens worldwide after the tweets resurfaced. The text links this backlash directly to the disruption of Emilia Perez’s Oscar run, describing it as more or less ending the possibility of a dominant sweep. With the campaign derailed in this way, the frontrunner label stopped holding.
The controversy narrowed the film’s most likely winning routes
Before the controversy, the film was described as a candidate that could have made history, including a potential Best Actress win for the first transgender actor at the Oscars. It also states that without the controversy, Emilia Perez would have been a favourite for Best Picture and likely the favourite for Best International Film. With the controversy in place, those “favourite” scenarios weakened, and the text points to other films gaining traction.
Best International Film odds shifted because of the controversy
For Best International Film, the text says the category would have been Emilia Perez’s “to lose” because of wins at the BAFTA, Golden Globe, and European Film Awards. However, it also says that with the controversy and the “quiet momentum” of I’m Still Here during the voting period, a surprise winner was expected. In other words, the tweet backlash was presented as the key factor that flipped a likely Emilia Perez win into a more uncertain outcome.

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How did Emilia Perez lose its Oscar frontrunner status?

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