How many Syrians are at risk of food insecurity?

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Approximately 16.3 Million Syrians Face Food Insecurity

This year, an estimated 16.3 million people in Syria are at risk of food insecurity. This dire situation is exacerbated by the country experiencing its worst climatic conditions in 60 years, leading to a significant drop in water levels and a projected wheat shortfall of 2.5 to 2.7 million tonnes.
Severe Drought Conditions Impacting Agriculture

Syria is currently facing unprecedented climatic challenges, with conditions not seen in six decades. Water levels have significantly decreased compared to previous years, a worrying trend that has severely impacted agricultural output. The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) estimates that harsh weather has affected approximately 2.5 million hectares of land used for wheat cultivation, with around 75 per cent of these cultivated areas experiencing damage.
Projected Wheat Shortfall and Historical Context

The country is anticipating a substantial gap of between 2.5 to 2.7 million tonnes in its wheat crop, meaning local production will be insufficient to meet domestic needs. This deficit is a stark contrast to the period before the civil war erupted in 2011, when Syria was self-sufficient in wheat, producing an average of 4.1 million tonnes annually. The nearly 14 years of conflict have severely hampered agricultural production and crippled the national economy.
Impact on Wheat Production and Farmers

The agricultural ministry in Damascus anticipates a harvest of only 300,000 to 350,000 tonnes in government-controlled areas. Indicators suggest that approximately 95 per cent of rain-fed wheat crops have been damaged, while yields from irrigated wheat have fallen by 30 to 40 per cent. Farmers are struggling to sustain their crops due to plummeting groundwater levels, with some needing to pump water from depths exceeding 160 metres.
Reliance on Imports Amidst Widespread Poverty

To address the critical wheat shortage, imports will be essential for Syria, a nation where roughly 90 per cent of the population lives in poverty. This reliance on external supplies highlights the vulnerability of the food supply chain in a country grappling with both conflict and environmental crises.

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How many Syrians are at risk of food insecurity?

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