How much Argentine barley is expected to be exported to China this year?

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Argentine Barley Exports to China Expected to Reach 250,000 Tonnes This Year

Argentina is projected to export at least 250,000 tonnes of barley to China this year, marking a significant resurgence in trade following a three-year hiatus. This increase is largely attributed to the trade dispute between China and Australia, which has altered global supply dynamics for the grain. In the preceding two months before a recent shipment, Argentina had already dispatched 160,000 tonnes of barley to China.
Record Shipments Anticipated in 2021

Looking ahead to 2021, Argentina is on track to achieve a record export volume of 380,000 tonnes of barley to China. This figure includes a confirmed business volume of 180,000 tonnes of malting barley specifically for export. Traders anticipate that total exports to China in the coming year could potentially reach as high as 800,000 tonnes, contingent on prevailing prices and the ongoing trade relationship between China and Australia.
Recent Shipment Activity and Future Schedules

A recent shipment on a Sunday involved a vessel carrying 65,000 tonnes of barley destined for China. Furthermore, an Argentina-based trader indicated that three to four additional shipments are scheduled for January. This recent activity underscores the immediate shift in trade flows, with China actively seeking alternative suppliers.
Impact of China-Australia Trade Conflict

The surge in Argentine barley exports to China is a direct consequence of the trade conflict initiated in May, when China imposed anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duties on Australian barley imports. This political dispute has compelled China, the primary importer of malt barley for brewing and a significant consumer for livestock feed, to seek new sources. Historically, Australia has been China's main barley supplier, but this situation has now created an opening for Argentina.

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How much Argentine barley is expected to be exported to China this year?

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