How significant was the vote share difference between BN and PH?

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The Vote Share Gap Between BN and PH Was Substantially Wider Than in Previous Elections

The difference in vote share between Barisan Nasional (BN) and Pakatan Harapan (PH) in the recent general election was a significant 11 percentage points. This disparity marks a considerable shift from prior electoral contests, such as the 13th General Election (GE13), where the vote share gap between the ruling coalition and the opposition hovered around three to four percentage points. Historically, BN typically secured approximately 60% of the vote, with the opposition garnering around 40%.
BN Achieved a Record-Low Vote Share

In the latest general election, BN's electoral performance resulted in a record low, capturing just over one-third of the valid votes cast nationwide for parliamentary seats. Calculations indicate BN secured 36.42% of the 11,642,437 valid votes, amounting to just over 4.24 million votes. This represents the lowest vote share for BN or its predecessor, the Alliance, since records began in 1959.
PH Secured a Majority of the Popular Vote

Pakatan Harapan (PH) emerged as the victor in the popular vote, garnering 47.33% of the total valid votes. This translated to over 5.51 million votes, surpassing BN's tally. When the vote share of Parti Warisan Sabah, aligned with PH, is included, their combined share reaches 49.54%. Further inclusion of votes for an independent candidate endorsed by PH would push their total to 49.87%.
Historical Vote Trends Show a Marked Shift

The 11 percentage point difference between BN's 36.42% and PH's 47.33% is notable when contrasted with past elections. For instance, in GE13, the gap was only about three to four percentage points. This widening gap suggests a significant popular shift away from BN, a trend previously unseen, with past elections typically showing a 60-40 vote ratio favouring BN.

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How significant was the vote share difference between BN and PH?

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