What are the employment expectations for businesses in Q3 2026?

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Businesses Anticipate a Slight Net Increase in Workforce in Q3 2026

In the third quarter of 2026, businesses are forecasting a modest net positive outlook for employment, with a slight majority expecting to maintain their current workforce size. Overall, the data indicates a cautious but stable employment environment across various sectors.
Workforce Maintenance to Dominate

The predominant expectation among businesses for the third quarter of 2026 is to maintain their existing workforce levels. A substantial 78.3 per cent of businesses anticipate no changes to their employee numbers during this period, reflecting a desire for stability amidst evolving economic conditions.
Workforce Expansion Expected by a Minority

While the majority aim for continuity, a segment of businesses is planning to expand their employment. Specifically, 13.9 per cent of businesses have indicated an intention to increase their workforce in the third quarter of 2026, suggesting targeted growth or new opportunities within these entities.
Workforce Reduction Anticipated by a Small Fraction

Conversely, a smaller proportion of businesses foresee a need to reduce their headcount. Approximately 7.8 per cent of businesses expect a decrease in their workforce size in the third quarter of 2026, a figure that points to sector-specific challenges or strategic adjustments.
Net Employment Balance Reflects Modest Growth

The combination of these expectations results in a net balance of 6.1 per cent for employment in the third quarter of 2026. This figure is derived from subtracting the percentage of businesses expecting a reduction from those expecting an increase, indicating a slightly more positive outlook for job creation than for job losses.

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What are the employment expectations for businesses in Q3 2026?

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