What constitutional upheaval looms if PAS wins Kuala Besut?

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Constitutional Upheaval Looms for Terengganu If PAS Wins Kuala Besut

Should PAS secure victory in the Kuala Besut by-election on July 24, Terengganu faces significant constitutional upheaval, impacting the state's constitution, the position of its Sultan, and the existing administrative structure. This potential outcome stems from the delicate balance of power in the Terengganu State Legislative Assembly, where Barisan Nasional (BN) currently holds a slim one-seat majority.
Terengganu's Precarious Political Balance

Barisan Nasional secured a two-seat majority in Terengganu during the 2013 general election. However, the passing of assemblyman Dr. A. Rahman Mokhtar, which necessitated the Kuala Besut by-election, reduced BN's majority to a single seat. A win for PAS in this by-election would result in an equal number of seats for both sides, creating a hung assembly for the first time in the state's history.
Implications for State Governance and the Sultanate

A hung assembly in Terengganu would trigger a constitutional crisis, potentially leading to the dissolution of the state government and the necessity for a new state election. Beyond the immediate administrative challenges, such a scenario could also affect the state constitution and the established position of the Sultan. This outcome is viewed as a significant blow to the current government's legitimacy, particularly following the recent general election.
PAS's Stated Aims and BN's Concerns

PAS and its coalition partner, Pakatan Rakyat (PR), are reportedly aiming for a victory in Kuala Besut with the explicit intention of destabilizing the Terengganu state government. Barisan Nasional, recognizing the gravity of losing this stronghold, is dedicating considerable effort to retain the seat. The potential for a hung assembly is a primary concern, with BN election director Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin urging voters to support BN to avoid such a situation.
Broader Political Ramifications

A defeat in the Kuala Besut by-election could have far-reaching consequences, extending to the Umno election later in the year. The outcome is seen as a substantial test of the government's legitimacy, especially given the close results of the 13th general election. Reports also suggest heightened fears of internal sabotage within the state Umno, prompting BN to deploy prominent figures to campaign in what is typically considered a safe seat.

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What constitutional upheaval looms if PAS wins Kuala Besut?

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