What does PAS’s 2022 trajectory suggest about its chances of staying in government?

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PAS's 2022 Trajectory Indicates Challenges in Maintaining Government Position

The current political trajectory of PAS in 2022 suggests that the party may not remain in government following the next general election. If PAS does not navigate its political landscape carefully, there is a significant risk of losing its hold on both Kelantan and Terengganu. Should this prognosis hold true, the party might find itself compelled to consider a change in its leadership.
Historical Precedent of Political Ouster

A parallel can be drawn to the events of 1978, when PAS initially joined Barisan Nasional (BN) and experienced a period in government. However, this alliance eventually led to PAS being ousted from its control in Kelantan by Umno and its splinter party, Berjasa. This historical precedent highlights a recurring pattern where a party, after a period of collaboration and government involvement, can face significant challenges to its established positions.
Risk of Losing Key States

The prognosis for PAS in 2022 indicates that the party could face a substantial electoral setback. If this trend continues, PAS not only risks being out of the federal government but also faces the potential loss of its strongholds in Kelantan and Terengganu. This dual threat suggests a critical juncture for the party's current standing and future influence.
Potential for Leadership Re-evaluation

Should the projected electoral outcomes materialize, with PAS potentially losing government positions and key states, the party might be prompted to re-evaluate its leadership. The article suggests that a failure to secure its current political standing could lead to internal pressure for new leadership to steer the party forward, a scenario that has historical parallels within PAS's past experiences.

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What does PAS’s 2022 trajectory suggest about its chances of staying in government?

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