What evidence links the BUK 9M38M1 to the MH17 crash?

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Evidence Suggests BUK 9M38M1 Missile Linked to MH17 Crash

The Russian company Almaz-Antey, the manufacturer of the BUK air defence system, has stated that its analysis of the wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 indicates the aircraft was shot down by a BUK 9M38M1 surface-to-air missile equipped with a 9H314M warhead. The company's findings are based on the nature of shrapnel holes observed in the aircraft debris, which they claim are consistent with this specific type of missile and warhead.
Missile Type and Warhead Analysis

Almaz-Antey's chief executive, Yan Novikov, presented findings suggesting that the missile responsible for the MH17 crash was a BUK 9M38M1 variant. The company's assessment of the wreckage focused on the pattern and characteristics of the damage, asserting that these features precisely match the impact of a 9H314M warhead. This analysis forms the core of their argument regarding the missile's identity.
Production and Availability of the Missile

A significant point raised by Almaz-Antey is the production status of the BUK 9M38M1 missile. The company stated that these particular missiles have not been manufactured in Russia since 1999. Furthermore, they indicated that the Russian armed forces primarily utilise a different warhead, the 9M317M, with their BUK systems in the present day.
Ukrainian Arsenal and Missile Lifespan

Almaz-Antey also highlighted the potential presence of such missiles within Ukraine's military inventory. Yan Novikov stated that Ukraine's armed forces possessed nearly 1,000 BUK 9M38M1 missiles in their arsenal as of 2005. This assertion was made in the context of Ukraine's prior discussions with Almaz-Antey regarding the extension of the lifespan of these missiles, suggesting continued operational use.

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What evidence links the BUK 9M38M1 to the MH17 crash?

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