What is the projected path of transboundary haze from Sumatra?

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Transboundary Haze from Sumatra Expected to Affect Peninsular Malaysia

Transboundary haze originating from central Sumatra is projected to drift into parts of Peninsular Malaysia. This projection is part of a broader assessment indicating a moderate risk of severe haze for Singapore, Indonesia, and Malaysia through the remainder of the year. The Singapore Institute of International Affairs released this assessment, noting an increase in risk compared to previous evaluations.
Increased Risk Factors Identified

The report highlights several factors contributing to the elevated haze risk. A rise in agricultural prices coupled with an increased rate of deforestation has heightened the likelihood of fires and subsequent haze. This has already led to a surge in detected hotspots and smoke haze across parts of Sumatra in mid-July.
Economic and Policy Influences on Deforestation

Economic and policy shifts are also identified as potential drivers of increased haze risk. If the practice of using fire for land clearing continues, it could inadvertently accelerate deforestation. This economic incentive, tied to land management practices, presents a significant challenge in mitigating haze formation.
Long-Term Climate Trends and Exacerbated Risks

Looking towards the future, climate trends suggest a potential for another unusually dry season occurring between 2027 and 2030. Such climatic conditions could further worsen the risks associated with haze, compounding the challenges already posed by current economic and land-use practices.

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What is the projected path of transboundary haze from Sumatra?

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