What led authorities to believe only three survivors are likely?

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Authorities Suspect Few Survivors Based on Rescued Passengers' Accounts

Maritime authorities hold a grim outlook regarding the potential number of survivors from the capsized catamaran, with fears that only three individuals might be recovered. This assessment is largely informed by the harrowing testimonies provided by other passengers who were successfully rescued. The accounts detail instances where life jackets were given away, and tragically, some individuals succumbed to the sea after losing theirs.
Accounts of Life Jacket Transfers and Drowning

Statements from rescued passengers indicate that life jackets were not always retained by their original wearers. One survivor recounted how he had to remove life jackets from his wife and daughter after they drowned, subsequently giving these to other survivors whose own life jackets were in poor condition. This survivor's narrative suggests a desperate situation where life-saving equipment was redistributed amongst those struggling to stay afloat.
Witnessing Fatalities and Dwindling Chances of Recovery

Further compounding the grim outlook, another rescued passenger reported an incident where she took a life jacket from a male passenger who had passed out and subsequently died. A crew member was also observed removing his own life jacket to give it to someone else. The last known sighting of another missing passenger was on the catamaran itself as it was sinking, further diminishing hopes.
Impact of Natural Decomposition on Recovery Efforts

Officials have stated that the chances of finding additional bodies are increasingly slim due to the natural decomposition process. This biological factor significantly hinders search and rescue operations, making the recovery of further victims unlikely as time progresses. The ongoing search, now in its 13th day, covers approximately 350 square nautical miles with multiple vessels and an aircraft deployed.

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What led authorities to believe only three survivors are likely?

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