What percentage of the Malaysian population is projected to be ethnic Chinese by 2030?

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Malaysian Chinese Population Projected to Fall Below 20 Per Cent by 2030

If current demographic trends persist, the ethnic Chinese population in Malaysia is projected to constitute 19.6 per cent of the total population by 2030. This represents a significant decline from historical figures, with the ethnic Chinese comprising 37.2 per cent of the population in 1957. Projections indicate a further decrease to 18.9 per cent by 2030 and 18.4 per cent by 2040, despite an expected numerical increase in the Chinese Malaysian population from 6.6 million to 7.1 million by 2040.
Declining Demographic Share

The proportion of ethnic Chinese within Malaysia's population has seen a steady decline over the decades. From a high of 37.2 per cent in 1957, the figure had fallen to 24 per cent in the years preceding the report and 21.4 per cent just two years prior to the article's publication. The Department of Statistics had previously reported this decline, noting a drop from 24.6 per cent in 2010 to 21.4 per cent in 2015, with the projection of reaching 19.6 per cent by 2030.
Factors Contributing to the Decline

A significant factor identified as contributing to this demographic shift is "brain drain," with a 2011 World Bank study indicating that nearly one million ethnic Chinese had emigrated by 2010, with over half relocating to Singapore. Furthermore, internal migration from rural to urban areas within Malaysia also plays a role, creating economic and workforce gaps in rural regions. These trends have led to concerns that migrant workers might outnumber ethnic Chinese in Malaysia by 2030.
Contrasting Growth Trends

In contrast to the projected decline in the percentage of ethnic Chinese, other major communities are expected to see their share of the population increase. The Bumiputera community's numbers are forecast to grow from 19.2 million in 2015 to 26 million by 2040, with their overall percentage rising from 61.8 per cent to 67.5 per cent. Similarly, the ethnic Indian population is projected to increase from two million to 2.3 million, representing a rise in their demographic share from 5.5 per cent to 6.4 per cent over the same period.

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What percentage of the Malaysian population is projected to be ethnic Chinese by 2030?

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