What price do Singapore sellers expect Mao Shan Wang to bottom out at?

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Singapore Sellers Anticipate Mao Shan Wang Prices to Stabilise Around S$18 Per Kilogram

Durian vendors in Singapore anticipate that the retail price for Mao Shan Wang, a highly sought-after variety, will stabilise at approximately S$18 per kilogram. This projection comes amidst a general decrease in prices, with Mao Shan Wang having fallen from a peak of around S$28 per kilogram in March to S$20 per kilogram as of June 23. This expected bottoming-out price point is notably similar to levels observed during a previous significant surplus in December 2025.
Current Price Trends for Popular Durian Varieties

Mao Shan Wang has seen a notable price reduction, currently retailing at S$20 per kilogram, down from its March high. Similarly, less premium varieties such as Red Prawn have also experienced a dip, decreasing from S$14 to S$12 per kilogram. These declines reflect an increased supply, although sellers maintain that Singapore's market dynamics will prevent prices from reaching the significantly lower rates seen in Malaysia.
Factors Influencing Singapore's Durian Pricing

The anticipated floor price of S$18 per kilogram for Mao Shan Wang is significant, representing a low not seen in the last five years, according to Kelvin Tan, co-founder of 99 Old Trees. However, sellers like Melvin Chua of Durian Garden point out that Singapore's higher operating costs, including overheads, transportation, and Goods and Services Tax (GST), preclude matching the rock-bottom prices observed in Malaysia, where Musang King is reportedly selling for as low as RM6 (S$2) per kilogram.
Impact of Oversupply and Quality Concerns

The current market conditions are largely attributed to hotter temperatures triggering an earlier and more abundant harvest across durian-producing regions, leading to a substantial oversupply. This abundance, however, is accompanied by concerns regarding fruit quality. Sellers indicate that a significant portion of the current supply comes from younger trees, potentially impacting the taste and texture, thus requiring more effort to sort through for superior fruit.
Consumer Preferences and Market Resilience

Despite the price drops, some consumers express a preference for quality over lower prices, particularly when faced with potentially inferior fruit offered at lower rates. Retiree Chia, a regular at Combat Durian, noted that while some stalls offer Mao Shan Wang below S$12 per kilogram, the fruit is often small, oddly shaped, and lacks good flavour. He prefers to pay more for a few good quality durians from trusted local sellers rather than risk purchasing large quantities that may spoil quickly.

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What price do Singapore sellers expect Mao Shan Wang to bottom out at?

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