What price level do Singapore sellers expect Mao Shan Wang to bottom out at?

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Singapore Sellers Anticipate Mao Shan Wang Durian Prices to Stabilise Around S$18 Per Kilogram

Singaporean durian sellers anticipate that prices for the popular Mao Shan Wang variety will stabilise at approximately S$18 per kilogram. This expected price point is comparable to levels observed during a significant market surplus in December 2025. As of June 23, Mao Shan Wang had already seen a decrease from its March high of around S$28 per kilogram, settling at S$20 per kilogram.
Current Price Drop and Historical Context

Mao Shan Wang durians, a highly sought-after variety, have experienced a notable price reduction, falling from an estimated S$28 per kilogram in March to S$20 per kilogram by June 23. Less premium types, such as Red Prawn, have also seen a decline, moving from S$14 to S$12 per kilogram. Sellers are projecting that the price for Mao Shan Wang will not fall below S$18 per kilogram, a level that reflects the market conditions during the last substantial oversupply experienced in December 2025.
Factors Influencing Singapore's Market

Despite a significant price drop in Malaysia, where some popular durian varieties are reportedly selling for just a few ringgit per kilogram, Singaporean retailers expect their prices to remain higher. This divergence is attributed to the higher operating costs in Singapore, including overheads, transportation, and Goods and Services Tax (GST). Melvin Chua, founder of Durian Garden, stated that these costs prevent retailers from matching the drastically low prices seen in Malaysia, where producers are able to sell at much lower rates due to abundant local stock.
Impact of Oversupply and Quality Concerns

The current abundance of durians is largely due to hotter temperatures triggering an earlier and larger harvest in Malaysia, particularly in Johor and Pahang, which are key import regions for Singapore. However, some sellers, like Kelvin Tan of 99 Old Trees, have noted that the market is flooded with fruit from younger trees, potentially impacting overall quality. This necessitates a more thorough selection process to identify good quality fruit, even amidst the oversupply.
Consumer Behaviour and Retailer Caution

While the significant price difference between Malaysia and Singapore might encourage some Singaporeans to travel across the border, local sellers remain cautious about overstocking due to the durian's short shelf life. Linda Ang of Combat Durian has increased her stock by 50 per cent but is wary of potential impacts on local sales from continuous advertising of cheap Malaysian durians, especially during school holidays. Some consumers, however, prefer the convenience and guaranteed quality from trusted local sellers, even at a higher price, over the risk of purchasing lower-quality fruit in bulk.

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What price level do Singapore sellers expect Mao Shan Wang to bottom out at?

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