Which coalition’s base suffered most in Johor’s urban low-turnout seats?

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Pakatan Harapan's base was most affected by the stay-at-home trend in Johor's urban low-turnout seats.

In the March 2022 Johor state election, the decline in voter participation was most pronounced in urban and suburban constituencies. Notably, eight of the ten constituencies that recorded the lowest turnout were secured by Pakatan Harapan (PH) or its then-ally Muda, indicating that the coalition's core supporters were disproportionately impacted by a trend towards staying home.
Turnout Collapse in PH-Held Constituencies

Several constituencies won by PH or Muda experienced a dramatic drop in voter engagement. For instance, Perling, represented by PH's Liew Chin Tong, saw its turnout plummet to 42.2 per cent, a stark contrast to the approximately 83 per cent recorded in 2018. Similarly, Skudai, a PH stronghold, experienced a plunge in participation from 85.2 per cent in 2018 to 43.8 per cent in 2022.
Muda's Landmark Win Also Affected

Even a constituency that saw a significant win for a new party was not immune to this trend. Puteri Wangsa, secured by Muda's Amira Aisya, recorded a turnout of just 46.9 per cent, a substantial decrease from the 86.9 per cent observed in the 2018 general election. This pattern suggests a broader issue affecting voters who have historically supported opposition parties.
Broader Impact on Opposition Performance

The low turnout was identified as a key factor contributing to PH's weakened performance in the 2022 Johor election. Johor PH chairman Aminolhuda Hassan cited this phenomenon, alongside potential vote-splitting, as primary reasons for the coalition's diminished results. Other seats that saw turnout struggles, failing to cross the 50 per cent mark, included Stulang, Bentayan, Penggaram, and Senai.

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Which coalition’s base suffered most in Johor’s urban low-turnout seats?

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