Why are US and South Korea starting defence cost talks unusually early?

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US and South Korea Launching Defence Cost Talks Unusually Early to Secure Agreement Before Potential US Election Outcome

South Korea and the United States have initiated early discussions regarding the cost-sharing arrangement for US troops stationed in South Korea. This proactive approach, involving the appointment of specific envoys, is notably ahead of the usual timeline for such negotiations, which are set to determine the agreement taking effect in 2026.
Envoys Appointed for Early Consultations

The appointment of Lee Tae-woo from South Korea and Linda Specht from the United States signifies the commencement of these early talks. This move is considered unusually prompt for a deal that is not scheduled to be implemented until 2026. The aim is to foster productive consultations that will reinforce the combined defence posture and further solidify the alliance between the two nations.
Strategic Timing Amidst US Election Considerations

The early commencement of these negotiations is widely perceived as a strategic measure to secure an agreement before the potential re-election of Donald Trump as US president. During his previous term, Trump had publicly accused South Korea of "free-riding" on US military capabilities and had demanded significantly higher financial contributions. South Korean media have suggested that these early talks are intended to extend the current agreement beyond its 2026 expiration, preempting any potential shifts in US policy.
Precedent of Difficult Negotiations and Cost Increases

The current agreement is slated to conclude in 2025, with successor pact negotiations typically occurring closer to the expiry date. Past negotiation periods, particularly during Trump's presidency, proved challenging. Ultimately, Seoul agreed to a 13.9% increase in its contribution, representing the most substantial annual rise in nearly two decades, illustrating the potential for protracted and demanding discussions.

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Why are US and South Korea starting defence cost talks unusually early?

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