Why is Hamas relying on international pressure to end the Gaza conflict?

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Hamas's Reliance on International Pressure Amidst Gaza Conflict

Hamas is increasingly relying on external international pressure and internal Israeli pressure to end the ongoing conflict in Gaza due to its militarily subordinate position against Israel and diminished support from its regional allies. The group faces a difficult situation with renewed Israeli attacks and deadlock in ceasefire negotiations, leaving it with limited options beyond seeking political solutions. Hamas is betting on mediators and potential divisions within Israel to achieve a cessation of hostilities, rather than through direct military confrontation.
Limited Military Options Against Israel

Hamas finds itself in a precarious military position, facing a dominant Israel that benefits from significant backing from the United States. This reality, coupled with diminished support from allies such as Iran and Hezbollah, has rendered direct military engagement an unviable option. Consequently, Hamas's strategic calculus has shifted towards leveraging external forces to influence the conflict's outcome, as fighting back is deemed impractical given the current military imbalance.
Stalled Ceasefire Negotiations and Hostage Release Conditions

The indirect talks concerning a ceasefire have reached a deadlock, with neither side willing to compromise. Hamas has stated its openness to negotiations but insists on receiving guarantees from third parties, specifically the United States, Egypt, or Qatar, that Israel will adhere to the terms of the stalled January ceasefire. Without such assurances, Hamas has indicated a preference for continuing the fight rather than releasing hostages, highlighting its distrust of Israeli commitments and its demand for concrete external validation of any agreement.
Betting on Mediators and Internal Israeli Divisions

Hamas is strategically relying on mediators, such as Egypt, the United States, and Qatar, to exert pressure on Israel. Furthermore, the group hopes that internal dissent within the Israeli military or growing public pressure within Israel will compel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government to seek an end to the war. This approach reflects Hamas's assessment that it cannot alter the military balance on the ground and must therefore seek a resolution through diplomatic channels and by exploiting potential political fissures within Israel.

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Why is Hamas relying on international pressure to end the Gaza conflict?

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