Why might PAS grassroots support PKR in Sungai Kandis?

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PAS Grassroots May Support PKR in Sungai Kandis Due to Candidate's Standing and Lingering Anti-Umno Sentiment

A significant number of PAS grassroots supporters may cast their votes for the PKR candidate in the Sungai Kandis by-election. This potential shift is attributed to the PKR candidate's strong local reputation and the persistent anti-Umno sentiment among some PAS members, despite their party leaders campaigning for Barisan Nasional. Merdeka Center director Ibrahim Suffian suggests that the PKR candidate, Mohd Zawawi Ahmad Mughni, a pious tahfiz school principal, has endeared himself to religious constituents, including those who might typically support rival parties. This personal appeal, combined with the existing political dynamics, could lead to a portion of PAS supporters opting for PKR.
Candidate's Local Standing Appeals to Religious Voters

Mohd Zawawi Ahmad Mughni's background as the principal of a tahfiz school has resonated well within the Sungai Kandis constituency. His image as a religious figure has helped him connect with voters who are religiously inclined. This includes supporters of rival parties, suggesting that his personal standing and perceived piety may transcend traditional party loyalties, making him a viable choice for a segment of PAS voters.
Persistent Anti-Umno Sentiment Among PAS Base

Despite PAS leaders openly campaigning for Umno in the Sungai Kandis by-election, a segment of the party's grassroots remains staunchly opposed to Umno. This internal division means that not all PAS supporters are aligned with the leadership's decision to back the Barisan Nasional candidate. For these members, the opportunity to protest against Umno by voting for the PKR candidate presents itself as a viable option, particularly given Mohd Zawawi Ahmad Mughni's positive local profile.
Historical Voting Patterns and Potential for Protest Votes

In the 14th general election, PAS secured 7,573 votes and Umno garnered 11,518 votes in Sungai Kandis. Neither party's vote count, when combined, was sufficient to overcome the majority secured by the incumbent PKR candidate, Mat Shuhaimi Shafiei. This historical context, where PAS and Umno votes combined did not guarantee victory against PKR, suggests that a portion of the electorate, including PAS supporters, may not automatically transfer their votes to Umno even when their party leadership endorses them. The presence of a well-regarded local candidate from PKR offers an alternative for those PAS grassroots members who are disinclined to support Umno.

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Why might PAS grassroots support PKR in Sungai Kandis?

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